Does anyone have a chance to beat obama




















Katie Hill, an Obama spokesperson, told me that no decisions have been made on the new timing for publication. As with Becoming , this book will have more than a standard release. But with former Vice President Joe Biden talking up Obama every chance he gets, the rest of the field is weighing how much they want to present themselves as a restoration of the previous administration, a continuation, or a new approach to politics entirely.

But a source close to the former president told me he is still receiving calls from hopefuls. Some are already on their second or third chat. Obama and his aides have carefully guarded when and how to deploy him; some have even theorized he could be called on to broker who the nominee is, if the primaries finish without a clear winner and Democrats face a contested convention.

As the race kicked off, Obama stepped out of the way to avoid looming over the conversation, but he is acutely aware that if Biden secures the nomination next summer, that will change. Democrats with ties to Obama expect he will then have to get even more involved next year, both out of a personal friendship and a feeling that the election would become a referendum on his presidency.

The way Biden is campaigning, though, Obama is a regular presence on the trail. He was a president our children could look up to and did. Republicans love her. Seventy-four percent of GOP voters view her favorably, according to the new poll. By contrast, the corresponding figure for Romney is 64 percent.

But Democrats and, to a lesser extent, independents? Not so much. Seventy-eight percent of Democrats have an unfavorable view of Palin, the Quinnipiac survey says. Fifty-four percent of independents have a similar view. Romney does much better with non-Republicans. Only 22 percent of independents view him unfavorably, for instance.

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Skip to main content Skip to main menu Skip to search Skip to footer. Search for:. Monitor Daily Current Issue. But it was African Americans who gave Obama his landslide. The drama in South Carolina had lingering effects. Just months earlier, it had seemed plausible that Clinton would outperform Obama with black voters. Now, though, Obama's African American support skyrocketed everywhere. Endorsements poured in from black leaders who'd been on the fence, or even in Clinton's camp.

Lewis withdrew his support of Clinton and signed on with Obama. The calculations of white Democratic leaders were changed by South Carolina — and by the Clintons' behavior. Offended in particular by Bill Clinton's politicking, Sen.

The campaign didn't end in South Carolina, though. Instead, clear demographic divisions developed and then deepened. Obama began rolling up well over 80 percent of the black vote and combining it with strong support from young voters and college-educated white liberals. Clinton, meanwhile, did well with Latinos and, as the race unfolded, better and better with white voters without college degrees. Campaign trail flare-ups only reinforced these new coalitions.

Instead, Obama amassed a small but critical advantage in the pledged delegate count, leaving Clinton to hope that superdelegates — elected officials and party leaders with automatic votes at the convention — would ultimately rally to her and her claims of superior electability. But that made it easy for Obama's team to claim that Clinton was attempting an undemocratic end around after falling short during the primary season. In early June, the final day of primaries ended with another split: Obama winning Montana and Clinton taking South Dakota.

But his overall lead with pledged delegates remained intact and, recognizing that the superdelegates were immovable, Clinton gave way at last. She and Obama had each received more than 17 million votes nationally. In state after state, turnout records had been shattered.

No Democratic primary race had ever attracted such energy. In a contest so tight, any number of factors could plausibly be deemed decisive, but the importance of black voters to the emergence of the first African American major party presidential nominee was impossible to overstate. IE 11 is not supported. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser.

Politics Covid U. News World Opinion Business. Share this —. Follow NBC News. By Steve Kornacki.



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